Lawrenceville leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Lawrenceville typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lawrenceville, ~38% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lawrenceville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lawrenceville leans more Democratic than 37 of 62 neighbors.
Lawrenceville runs about 27 points more Democratic than Georgia as a whole. Georgia is roughly evenly split, and Lawrenceville sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Lawrenceville. The east side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+41) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+11), a spread of about 30 points.
Why Lawrenceville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lawrenceville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 84% of residents in Lawrenceville live in densely developed areas, about 48 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Lawrenceville sits in the top quarter (about 33%, above 79% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Lawrenceville have never been married, above 90% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lawrenceville, GA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lawrenceville looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Lawrenceville is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Grayson, GA D+27
- Duluth, GA D+23
- Dacula, GA D+4
- Lilburn, GA D+15
- Suwanee, GA Even
- Snellville, GA D+42
- Berkeley Lake, GA Even
- Windsor, GA D+27
- Buford, GA R+3
- Loganville, GA D+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Modesto, CA Even
- Laredo, TX Even
- North Las Vegas, NV D+23
- St. Petersburg, FL D+18
- Irving, TX D+17
- West Palm Beach, FL D+16
- Garland, TX D+15
- Tacoma, WA D+33
- Chula Vista, CA D+18
- Chesapeake, VA D+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Georgia Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.