Anchorage leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Alaska did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 61% of adults in Anchorage typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Anchorage, ~38% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Anchorage compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Anchorage is the most Democratic-leaning.
Anchorage runs about 36 points more Democratic than Alaska as a whole. Alaska leans Republican overall, while Anchorage is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Anchorage. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+37) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+15), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Anchorage leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Anchorage, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 37% of adults in Anchorage hold a bachelor's degree, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 28%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Anchorage have never been married, above 90% of cities. Anchorage runs against the grain of Alaska, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Anchorage, AK sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Anchorage looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 35% of households in Anchorage rent, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Anchorage have more than one occupant per room, above 85% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Elmendorf Afb, AK D+2
- Fort Richardson, AK R+14
- Eagle River, AK D+9
- Indian, AK D+8
- Hope, AK R+37
- Chugiak, AK R+5
- Big Lake, AK R+39
- Peters Creek, AK R+10
- Knik, AK R+40
- Knik-Fairview, AK R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Alexandria, VA D+52
- Norfolk, VA D+43
- Tallahassee, FL D+29
- Fayetteville, NC D+29
- Arlington, VA D+57
- Chesapeake, VA D+9
- San Bernardino, CA D+18
- Mobile, AL D+15
- Tacoma, WA D+33
- Ocala, FL R+19
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alaska Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. AK did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.