Chester leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Chester typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chester, ~37% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chester compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chester leans more Republican than 56 of 167 neighbors.
Chester runs about 20 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Chester is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chester. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+20), a spread of about 28 points.
Why Chester leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chester, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Chester votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 33%, above 82% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Chester runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Chester, NY does.
Why turnout in Chester looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Chester is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Chester have completed high school, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Greycourt, NY R+7
- Sugar Loaf, NY R+7
- Monroe, NY R+8
- South Blooming Grove, NY R+46
- Goshen, NY R+9
- Florida, NY R+12
- Kiryas Joel, NY R+91
- Wisner, NY R+19
- Blooming Grove, NY R+17
- Arden, NY Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Williamston, NC R+6
- Bremen, GA R+68
- Robinson, TX R+51
- Allegan, MI R+26
- Cortez, CO R+30
- Kingston, PA D+3
- Starke, FL R+45
- Ipswich, MA D+26
- Coalinga, CA R+14
- Rantoul, IL D+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.