Kiryas Joel is a Republican stronghold. About 5% of voters here vote Democratic and 95% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Kiryas Joel typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Kiryas Joel, ~3% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Kiryas Joel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Kiryas Joel leans more Republican than 177 of 180 neighbors.
Kiryas Joel runs about 103 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Kiryas Joel is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Kiryas Joel. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+96) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 81 points.
Why Kiryas Joel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Kiryas Joel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Kiryas Joel votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 80%, far above the New York average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 94% of households in Kiryas Joel are family households, in the top fraction of cities. Kiryas Joel runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Kiryas Joel, NY does.
Why turnout in Kiryas Joel looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Kiryas Joel is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 25 points below the New York average of 64%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 65% of households in Kiryas Joel rent, compared to around 17% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 40% of adults in Kiryas Joel report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- South Blooming Grove, NY R+46
- Monroe, NY R+8
- Central Valley, NY R+11
- Harriman, NY D+11
- Highland Mills, NY R+12
- Arden, NY Even
- Greycourt, NY R+7
- Blooming Grove, NY R+17
- Chester, NY R+7
- Washingtonville, NY R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Granger, IN R+9
- Syracuse, UT R+38
- Cabot, AR R+51
- Bell, CA D+34
- Saratoga, CA D+29
- Westlake, OH D+8
- Wheat Ridge, CO D+30
- Chester, PA D+78
- Kaysville, UT R+34
- Spotsylvania, VA R+23
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.