Chesterfield is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Chesterfield typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chesterfield, ~9% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chesterfield compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chesterfield leans more Republican than 42 of 60 neighbors.
Chesterfield runs about 42 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.
Why Chesterfield leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Chesterfield. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Chesterfield, TN sits below the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Chesterfield looks the way it does
Turnout in Chesterfield sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Darden, TN R+74
- Timberlake, TN R+62
- Warrens Bluff, TN R+67
- Middleburg, TN R+78
- Lexington, TN R+58
- Bible Hill, TN R+72
- Shady Hill, TN R+79
- Garrett, TN R+73
- Wildersville, TN R+64
- Parsons, TN R+66
Cities with Similar Populations
- Zeandale, KS R+39
- Middlefield Center, NY R+16
- Eberton, DE D+11
- Jefferson, IN R+56
- High Shoals, GA R+69
- Jeddo, TX R+63
- Summerville, LA R+92
- Wagner, PA R+67
- Sapello, NM D+16
- Long Island, KS R+74
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.