Middlefield Center leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 74% of adults in Middlefield Center typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Middlefield Center, ~31% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Middlefield Center compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Middlefield Center leans more Republican than 11 of 128 neighbors.
Middlefield Center runs about 28 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Middlefield Center is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Middlefield Center. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+13), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Middlefield Center leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Middlefield Center, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Middlefield Center votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Middlefield Center runs about 28 points more Republican.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Middlefield Center, NY sits below the national average on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Middlefield Center looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Middlefield Center is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 66% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Middlefield Center own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cherry Valley, NY R+15
- Van Deusenville, NY R+28
- Leesville, NY R+34
- East Springfield, NY R+23
- Buel, NY R+44
- Hessville, NY R+48
- Roseboom, NY R+5
- Sharon Springs, NY R+40
- Dorloo, NY R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jeddo, TX R+63
- Jefferson, IN R+56
- Wideman, AR R+69
- Havillah, WA R+45
- Hayfield, VA R+41
- High Shoals, GA R+69
- Rock Springs, NM R+10
- Menominee, NE R+72
- Whick, KY R+62
- Shakerag, IL R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.