Chestnut Knoll leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Chestnut Knoll typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Chestnut Knoll, ~31% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Chestnut Knoll compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Chestnut Knoll leans more Republican than 27 of 76 neighbors.
Chestnut Knoll runs about 35 points more Republican than Delaware as a whole. Delaware leans Democratic overall, while Chestnut Knoll is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Chestnut Knoll. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+32) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Chestnut Knoll leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Chestnut Knoll, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Chestnut Knoll votes against the grain of Delaware. Delaware leans Democratic overall, while Chestnut Knoll runs about 35 points more Republican.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Chestnut Knoll, DE sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Chestnut Knoll looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Chestnut Knoll is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 59% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Thompsonville, DE R+39
- Marvels Crossroads, DE R+37
- Frederica, DE R+12
- Milford, DE R+5
- Houston, DE R+36
- Reeves Crossing, DE R+35
- Felton, DE R+24
- Bowers, DE R+36
- Magnolia, DE D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gulston, KY R+76
- Grassy Butte, ND R+76
- Goehner, NE R+64
- Charleston, IA R+50
- Rattigan, PA R+59
- New Holland Crossroads, SC R+67
- Charlesburg, WI R+50
- Angoon, AK D+15
- Hightower, AL R+87
- Pleasant Mound, IL R+63
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Delaware Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.