Choctaw leans heavily Republican by roughly 50 points: about 25% of voters vote Democratic and 75% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Choctaw typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Choctaw, ~22% vote Democratic, ~67% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Choctaw compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Choctaw leans more Republican than 11 of 22 neighbors.
Choctaw runs about 37 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Choctaw. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+67) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+43), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Choctaw leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Choctaw. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Choctaw, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Choctaw looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Choctaw have completed high school, about 8 points above the Florida average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Grayton Beach, FL R+49
- Rosemary Bch, FL R+41
- Santa Rosa Beach, FL R+45
- Freeport, FL R+56
- Portland, FL R+52
- Red Head, FL R+64
- Laguna Beach, FL R+38
- Point Washington, FL R+62
- West Panama City Beach, FL R+69
- Miramar Beach, FL R+39
Cities with Similar Populations
- Miltonvale, KS R+74
- Friendship, NC R+45
- Ontario on the Lake, NY R+17
- Batesville, VA D+10
- Serena, IL R+34
- Sun, LA R+78
- Tinsley, MS R+64
- Bel, LA R+88
- Canton, WI R+40
- Mc Intosh, NM R+54
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.