Santa Rosa Beach leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Santa Rosa Beach typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Santa Rosa Beach, ~25% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Santa Rosa Beach compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Santa Rosa Beach leans more Republican than 12 of 21 neighbors.
Santa Rosa Beach runs about 32 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Santa Rosa Beach. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+39), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Santa Rosa Beach leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Santa Rosa Beach, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Santa Rosa Beach votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 25%, far below the Florida average of 57%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Santa Rosa Beach, FL sits above the national average on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Santa Rosa Beach looks the way it does
Turnout in Santa Rosa Beach sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Grayton Beach, FL R+49
- Miramar Beach, FL R+39
- Portland, FL R+52
- Choctaw, FL R+50
- Freeport, FL R+56
- Rosemary Bch, FL R+41
- Destin, FL R+40
- Point Washington, FL R+62
- Niceville, FL R+38
- Red Head, FL R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Erlanger, KY R+14
- Havelock, NC R+17
- Athens, TX R+40
- Oxford, NC D+10
- Sandy, OR R+14
- Brookhaven, MS R+15
- Circleville, OH R+34
- Walpole, MA D+16
- Mukwonago, WI R+31
- Great Neck, NY R+19
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.