Church Rock leans heavily Democratic by roughly 34 points: about 67% of voters vote Democratic and 33% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Church Rock typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Church Rock, ~37% vote Democratic, ~18% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Church Rock compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Church Rock leans more Democratic than 20 of 24 neighbors.
Church Rock runs about 29 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Church Rock leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Church Rock, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 59% of adults in Church Rock have never been married, far above similar-sized cities (around 28%).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Church Rock, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Church Rock looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Church Rock is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 39%, about 19 points below the New Mexico average of 58%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 53% of adults in Church Rock report food insecurity, in the top fraction of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Church Rock sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Navajo Wingate Village, NM D+34
- Jamestown, NM D+8
- Perea, NM D+29
- Rehoboth, NM D+31
- Pinedale, NM D+7
- Fort Wingate, NM D+32
- Rock Springs, NM R+10
- Gallup, NM D+12
- Twin Lakes, NM D+26
Cities with Similar Populations
- Beulah, CO R+26
- Lewiston, CA R+30
- Lakewood Club, MI R+25
- Larwill, IN R+59
- Crainville, IL R+19
- Perry, MO R+59
- Perkinsville, VT D+2
- Searsmont, ME R+11
- Sampit, SC R+21
- Bailey, MI R+43
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.