Churchill Estates is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Churchill Estates typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Churchill Estates, ~37% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Churchill Estates compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Churchill Estates sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 10 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 2 leaning the other way.
Churchill Estates runs about 13 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole.
Why Churchill Estates leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Churchill Estates. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Churchill Estates, San Antonio, TX sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Churchill Estates looks the way it does
Turnout in Churchill Estates sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Vista del Norte, San Antonio, TX D+4
- Mission Ridge, San Antonio, TX R+8
- Lockhill Estates, San Antonio, TX D+31
- Greater Harmony Hills, San Antonio, TX D+14
- Woods of Shavano, San Antonio, TX D+9
- Vance Jackson, San Antonio, TX D+20
- Sonterra-Stone Oak, San Antonio, TX R+2
- Oak Haven Heights, San Antonio, TX D+4
- North Central Heritage, San Antonio, TX Even
- North Central Thousand Oaks, San Antonio, TX Even
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Foothill Green, Dakota Ridge, CO D+8
- Lawrence Park, Sacramento, CA D+37
- Downtown Syracuse, Syracuse, NY D+63
- Central Business District, Louisville, KY D+58
- Maple Manor, Elgin, IL D+24
- Cool Springs, Wilmington, DE D+69
- Ventana Lakes, Peoria, AZ R+24
- Reed, Portland, OR D+74
- Bethune Grant, Daytona Beach, FL D+16
- Downtown Neptune City, Neptune City, NJ D+8
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.