Clay City is a Republican stronghold. About 21% of voters here vote Democratic and 79% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Clay City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clay City, ~15% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clay City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clay City leans more Republican than 49 of 98 neighbors.
Clay City runs about 39 points more Republican than Indiana as a whole.
Why Clay City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clay City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Clay City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 21%, about 15 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Clay City, IN sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Clay City looks the way it does
Turnout in Clay City sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Coalmont, IN R+61
- Denmark, IN R+63
- Coal City, IN R+64
- Saline City, IN R+62
- Howesville, IN R+64
- Buchanan Corner, IN R+61
- Lewis, IN R+58
- Cory, IN R+63
- Jasonville, IN R+58
Cities with Similar Populations
- Boyne Falls, MI R+35
- White Oak, NC R+22
- Glyndon, MN R+34
- Wausaukee, WI R+43
- Mangonia Park, FL D+64
- Macclesfield, NC R+42
- Woodsboro, TX R+37
- Three Lakes, WI R+16
- Hardin, KY R+62
- The Plains, VA R+11
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Indiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.