Clayhole is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Clayhole typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Clayhole, ~10% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Clayhole compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Clayhole leans more Republican than 33 of 110 neighbors.
Clayhole runs about 34 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Clayhole leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Clayhole, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Clayhole, about 97% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 28%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Clayhole sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 5%, below 80% of cities).
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Clayhole, KY sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Clayhole looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Clayhole is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 48%, about 7 points below the Kentucky average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Clayhole have completed high school, below 94% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Clayhole sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Lost Creek, KY R+63
- Whick, KY R+62
- Noble, KY R+68
- Rowdy, KY R+62
- Quicksand, KY R+59
- Chavies, KY R+67
- Jackson, KY R+61
- Dice, KY R+65
- Ary, KY R+59
Cities with Similar Populations
- Ferdinand, ID R+71
- Zimmerdale, KS R+41
- Sharpsburg, MS D+32
- Rock Bluff, SC D+50
- Westwood, GA R+58
- Perry Landing, TX R+39
- Buckhorn, MI R+18
- Warm Beach, WA R+22
- Keysville, MO R+65
- Conewango, NY R+51
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.