Coaldale leans heavily Republican by roughly 44 points: about 28% of voters vote Democratic and 72% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Coaldale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coaldale, ~20% vote Democratic, ~52% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coaldale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Coaldale is the most Republican-leaning.
Coaldale runs about 56 points more Republican than Colorado as a whole. Colorado leans Democratic overall, while Coaldale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Coaldale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coaldale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Coaldale, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 28 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points below the Colorado average of 39%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Coaldale sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 1%, below 98% of cities). Coaldale runs against the grain of Colorado, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Coaldale, CO sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Coaldale looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. More than 99% of households in Coaldale own their home, about 25 points above the Colorado average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Howard, CO R+35
- Wellsville, CO R+33
- Swissvale, CO R+40
- Texas Creek, CO R+39
- Cotopaxi, CO R+38
- Hillside, CO R+30
- Villa Grove, CO R+19
- Salida, CO D+19
- Poncha Springs, CO D+8
- Smeltertown, CO D+10
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wheelerville, MO R+70
- Pricetown, OH R+69
- East Dailey, WV R+58
- Standing Pine, MS R+21
- Reddell, LA R+77
- Redwood, VA R+60
- Bynum, NC D+11
- Pleasantville, TN R+73
- Fruit, IL R+37
- Gilead, MI R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Colorado Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.