Cold Spring leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Cold Spring typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cold Spring, ~35% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cold Spring compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cold Spring leans more Republican than 26 of 49 neighbors.
Cold Spring runs about 27 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Cold Spring is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Cold Spring leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cold Spring, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cold Spring votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 45%, well below the New Jersey average of 61%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Cold Spring runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cold Spring, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Cold Spring looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Cold Spring is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 66%, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and more than 99% of households in Cold Spring own their home, compared to around 76% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Cold Spring have completed high school, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Cape May, NJ R+15
- West Cape May, NJ D+10
- Wildwood Gables, NJ R+6
- North Cape May, NJ R+19
- Cape May Point, NJ D+4
- Wildwood Crest, NJ R+23
- Villas, NJ R+22
- Rio Grande, NJ R+19
- Wildwood, NJ R+9
- West Wildwood, NJ R+30
Cities with Similar Populations
- Hitchita, OK R+67
- Union, WI R+7
- Dartmont, WV R+68
- Sandtown, GA R+26
- Glenn Springs, SC R+66
- Assonet Bay Shores, MA R+17
- Rush Valley, UT R+76
- Knoxo, MS D+8
- Wide Ruins, AZ D+51
- Whittle, VA R+42
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.