Villas leans Republican by roughly 22 points: about 39% of voters vote Democratic and 61% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Villas typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Villas, ~29% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Villas compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Villas leans more Republican than 25 of 58 neighbors.
Villas runs about 28 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Villas is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Villas leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Villas, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Villas votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 63%, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Villas runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Villas, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Villas looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Villas own their home, about 16 points above the New Jersey average of 74%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Rio Grande, NJ R+19
- North Cape May, NJ R+19
- Cape May, NJ R+15
- Cold Spring, NJ R+21
- West Cape May, NJ D+10
- Wildwood Gables, NJ R+6
- Cape May Point, NJ D+4
- West Wildwood, NJ R+30
- Wildwood Crest, NJ R+23
- Wildwood, NJ R+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Winooski, VT D+57
- Eatonville, WA R+35
- Oakvale, WV R+56
- Jamestown, TN R+68
- Waller, TX R+35
- Greenlawn, NY D+3
- East Rutherford, NJ D+5
- Covington, VA R+42
- Little Ferry, NJ Even
- Pine Bush, NY R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.