Covington City, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Covington City

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Covington City leans Republican by roughly 30 points: about 35% of voters vote Democratic and 65% Republican.

 

About 83% of adults in Covington City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Covington City, ~29% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Covington City compares

Among counties within 50 miles, Covington City leans more Republican than 5 of 17 neighbors.

Covington City runs about 35 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Covington City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by city within Covington City. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 37 points.

Why Covington City leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Covington City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 87% of residents in Covington City drive to work alone, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Covington City sits in the bottom quarter (about 10%, in the bottom fraction of counties). Covington City runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Covington City, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Covington City looks the way it does

Turnout in Covington City sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.