Lexington City leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Lexington City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lexington City, ~43% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lexington City compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Lexington City leans more Democratic than 20 of 21 neighbors.
Lexington City runs about 4 points more Democratic than Virginia as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Lexington City. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+16) and the west side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Lexington City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lexington City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 92% of residents in Lexington City live in densely developed areas, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Lexington City sits in the top quarter (about 48%, above 96% of counties). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 59% of adults in Lexington City have never been married, in the top fraction of counties.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Lexington City, VA sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Lexington City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lexington City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 94% of adults in Lexington City have completed high school, above 87% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Rockbridge County, VA R+36
- Buena Vista City, VA R+35
- Bath County, VA R+54
- Amherst County, VA R+33
- Alleghany County, VA R+51
- Covington City, VA R+29
- Lynchburg City, VA D+10
- Nelson County, VA R+22
- Bedford County, VA R+43
- Botetourt County, VA R+45
Counties with Similar Populations
- Pepin County, WI R+30
- Pierce County, NE R+72
- Grand Isle County, VT Even
- Rappahannock County, VA R+17
- Grant County, KS R+59
- Elliott County, KY R+57
- Castro County, TX R+40
- Jefferson County, MS D+63
- Wallowa County, OR R+20
- Lee County, KY R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.