Covington County leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Covington County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Covington County, ~24% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Covington County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Covington County leans more Republican than 6 of 11 neighbors.
Covington County runs about 9 points more Republican than Mississippi as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Covington County. The northeast side runs the most Democratic (D+50) and the south side runs the most Republican (R+85), a spread of about 134 points.
Why Covington County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Covington County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Covington County drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Covington County sits in the bottom quarter (about 17%, below 77% of counties). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 72% of households in Covington County are family households, above 87% of counties.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Covington County, MS sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Covington County looks the way it does
Turnout in Covington County sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Jefferson Davis County, MS D+6
- Jones County, MS R+32
- Smith County, MS R+59
- Lamar County, MS R+40
- Simpson County, MS R+29
- Forrest County, MS R+6
- Marion County, MS R+33
- Jasper County, MS D+2
- Lawrence County, MS R+30
- Perry County, MS R+58
Counties with Similar Populations
- Stone County, MS R+57
- Jefferson County, KS R+50
- Frio County, TX R+13
- Dickinson County, KS R+51
- Appling County, GA R+53
- Bosque County, TX R+63
- Yancey County, NC R+43
- Westmoreland County, VA R+14
- Ste. Genevieve County, MO R+55
- Fentress County, TN R+68
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.