Jasper County is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 73% of adults in Jasper County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Jasper County, ~37% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~27% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Jasper County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Jasper County sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 11 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
Jasper County runs about 25 points more Democratic than Mississippi as a whole. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Jasper County sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Jasper County. The southeast side runs the most Democratic (D+57) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+59), a spread of about 116 points.
Why Jasper County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Jasper County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Jasper County votes against the grain of Mississippi. Mississippi leans Republican overall, while Jasper County runs about 25 points more Democratic.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Jasper County, MS sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Jasper County looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 83% of households in Jasper County own their home, about 6 points above the Mississippi average of 77%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Jasper County sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Jones County, MS R+32
- Smith County, MS R+59
- Clarke County, MS R+26
- Newton County, MS R+34
- Covington County, MS R+32
- Wayne County, MS R+25
- Scott County, MS R+18
- Lauderdale County, MS R+5
- Simpson County, MS R+29
- Forrest County, MS R+6
Counties with Similar Populations
- Alamosa County, CO R+3
- Clay County, IA R+34
- Atchison County, KS R+34
- Potter County, PA R+58
- Fayette County, AL R+68
- Hill County, MT R+23
- Brooks County, GA R+23
- New Madrid County, MO R+46
- Lawrence County, KY R+67
- Fountain County, IN R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Mississippi Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.