Dairy is a Republican stronghold. About 22% of voters here vote Democratic and 78% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Dairy typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dairy, ~13% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dairy compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dairy leans more Republican than 18 of 20 neighbors.
Dairy runs about 70 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Dairy is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dairy. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+45), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Dairy leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dairy, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dairy votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Dairy runs about 70 points more Republican.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Dairy, OR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Dairy looks the way it does
Turnout in Dairy sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Yonna, OR R+56
- Olene, OR R+49
- Bonanza, OR R+55
- Hildebrand, OR R+51
- Altamont, OR R+35
- Lake of the Woods, OR R+49
- Klamath Falls, OR R+22
- Falcon Heights, OR R+55
- Shady Pine, OR R+36
- Pelican City, OR R+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- St. Charles, SC D+16
- Roeton, AL R+78
- Lovell, PA R+49
- Curtis, NY R+47
- Lumbull, AL R+81
- Edgar, MT R+62
- Woodville, MO R+70
- Fillmore, IA R+42
- Longview, WV R+64
- Palisades Park, MI R+5
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.