Daniel leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Daniel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Daniel, ~27% vote Democratic, ~64% Republican, and ~9% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Daniel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Daniel leans more Republican than 25 of 36 neighbors.
Daniel runs about 19 points more Republican than Utah as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Daniel. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+29), a spread of about 23 points.
Why Daniel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Daniel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Daniel votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 46%, modestly above the Utah average of 32%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Daniel, UT sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Daniel looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Daniel is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Heber City, UT R+34
- Charleston, UT R+45
- Independence, UT R+53
- Heber, UT R+33
- Midway, UT R+25
- Wallsburg, UT R+67
- Hailstone, UT R+19
- Francis, UT R+42
- Hideout, UT R+26
- Keetley, UT R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tetonia, ID R+36
- Bluford, IL R+68
- Maple, OK R+67
- Cosmopolis, WA R+18
- Waverly, GA R+52
- Hadley, PA R+58
- Swords Creek, VA R+70
- Glasgow, MO R+48
- Tabor, IA R+46
- Noble, LA R+51
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.