Deal leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Deal typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deal, ~24% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deal compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Deal leans more Republican than 110 of 112 neighbors.
Deal runs about 48 points more Republican than New Jersey as a whole. New Jersey leans Democratic overall, while Deal is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Deal. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+48) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Deal leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Deal, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Deal votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 88%, well above the New Jersey average of 61%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts. Deal runs against the grain of New Jersey, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Deal, NJ sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Deal looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Deal is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Allenhurst, NJ R+29
- Loch Arbour, NJ R+37
- Interlaken, NJ R+11
- Oakhurst, NJ R+26
- Wanamassa, NJ D+3
- Asbury Park, NJ D+36
- Ocean Grove, NJ D+34
- West Long Branch, NJ R+28
- Bradley Beach, NJ D+16
- Long Branch, NJ D+9
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tippecanoe, IN R+64
- Varnamtown, NC R+50
- Furnaceville, NY R+21
- Hampton Springs, FL R+54
- Randolph AFB, TX R+6
- Ivanhoe, VA R+69
- Brownstown, PA R+34
- Beechwood Village, KY D+18
- White, SD R+52
- Shirley Center, MA D+9
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Jersey Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.