Deale leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 90% of adults in Deale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deale, ~41% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Deale leans more Republican than 90 of 127 neighbors.
Deale runs about 38 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Deale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Deale. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+19) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+7), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Deale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Deale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Deale votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 37%, modestly below the Maryland average of 43%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Deale runs against the grain of Maryland, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion, uninsured rate, and voter turnout
Places that combine high-school-completion-heavy adults and a low uninsured rate tend to turn out at a higher rate, as Deale, MD does.
Why turnout in Deale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Deale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 72%, about 12 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in Deale own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Deale have completed high school, above 87% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Churchton, MD R+13
- Tracys Landing, MD R+15
- West River, MD R+14
- Shady Side, MD R+6
- Galesville, MD R+8
- Friendship, MD R+14
- North Beach, MD R+4
- Lothian, MD R+7
- Dunkirk, MD R+18
Cities with Similar Populations
- Branchville, NJ R+32
- West Brookfield, MA R+6
- Altoona, AL R+83
- Wolf Point, MT D+6
- Fremont, NH R+15
- Johnston, SC R+4
- Henryville, IN R+53
- Hot Springs, SD R+48
- Lucama, NC R+39
- Jefferson, TX R+43
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.