Dover is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 62% of adults in Dover typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dover, ~11% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~38% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dover leans more Republican than 30 of 49 neighbors.
Dover runs about 34 points more Republican than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dover. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+72) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+60), a spread of about 12 points.
Why Dover leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Dover. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Dover, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Dover looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dover is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Augsburg, AR R+65
- Scottsville, AR R+69
- Moreland, AR R+74
- Russellville, AR R+35
- Ross, AR R+66
- London, AR R+62
- Hector, AR R+69
- Worthen, AR R+62
- Hickeytown, AR R+65
- Pottsville, AR R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Crockett, TX R+5
- Great Neck Plaza, NY D+21
- Pauls Valley, OK R+49
- Jena, LA R+53
- Crystal City, TX D+5
- Cocoa West, FL D+22
- Waverly, TN R+55
- Wellston, OH R+55
- Waveland, MS R+41
- Winnabow, NC R+25
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.