Crystal City leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 66% of adults in Crystal City typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Crystal City, ~35% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Crystal City compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Crystal City leans more Democratic than 4 of 6 neighbors.
Crystal City runs about 19 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Crystal City is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Crystal City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Crystal City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 56% of residents in Crystal City live in densely developed areas, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 41% of adults in Crystal City have never been married, above 94% of cities. Crystal City runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Crystal City, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Crystal City looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Crystal City is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 40%, about 13 points below the Texas average of 54%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Winter Haven, TX D+7
- Carrizo Springs, TX R+5
- Asherton, TX D+4
- Big Wells, TX Even
- La Pryor, TX R+6
- Batesville, TX D+8
- Catarina, TX Even
- Valley Wells, TX R+13
- Divot, TX R+29
- El Indio, TX R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Jena, LA R+53
- Waverly, TN R+55
- Pauls Valley, OK R+49
- Great Neck Plaza, NY D+21
- Cocoa West, FL D+22
- Crockett, TX R+5
- Dover, AR R+65
- Waveland, MS R+41
- Wellston, OH R+55
- Coal Township, PA R+35
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.