Dover is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Dover typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dover, ~20% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dover compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dover leans more Republican than 33 of 35 neighbors.
Dover runs about 52 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dover. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+56) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Dover leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dover, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Dover, about 95% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 23 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 16% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Michigan average of 26%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Dover, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Dover looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Dover own their home, about 8 points above the Michigan average of 83%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Colonville, MI R+55
- Clare, MI R+28
- Farwell, MI R+40
- Harrison, MI R+40
- Loomis, MI R+43
- Lake George, MI R+46
- Skeels, MI R+45
- Wagarville, MI R+45
- Lake, MI R+42
- Rosebush, MI R+37
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sarona, WI R+26
- Cross River, NY D+11
- Clarksville, PA R+41
- Indian Lake Estates, FL R+47
- Urbandale, MI R+28
- Five Lakes, MI R+45
- Fannett, TX R+55
- Sharpsburg, KY R+55
- Verplanck, NY D+14
- Amana, IA R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.