Wagarville leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 78% of adults in Wagarville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wagarville, ~21% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wagarville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wagarville leans more Republican than 22 of 31 neighbors.
Wagarville runs about 44 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Wagarville. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+38), a spread of about 13 points.
Why Wagarville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wagarville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Wagarville, about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the Michigan average of 26%.
Foreign-born share and voter turnout
Places with a low foreign-born share tend to turn out in mixed patterns; Wagarville, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Wagarville looks the way it does
Turnout in Wagarville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Gladwin, MI R+40
- Wooden Shoe Village, MI R+45
- Hockaday, MI R+38
- Skeels, MI R+45
- Winegars, MI R+45
- Beaverton, MI R+45
- Sugar Rapids, MI R+41
- Dover, MI R+53
- Colonville, MI R+55
- Harrison, MI R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Susquehanna, PA R+50
- Hildreth, FL R+72
- Peru, ME R+39
- Brooksville, MS D+54
- Hoxie, KS R+74
- Luna Pier, MI R+17
- Readlyn, IA R+43
- Montezuma Creek, UT D+39
- Delta, AL R+84
- Bird Island, MN R+57
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.