Downs Chapel leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Downs Chapel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Downs Chapel, ~24% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Downs Chapel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Downs Chapel leans more Republican than 78 of 104 neighbors.
Downs Chapel runs about 55 points more Republican than Delaware as a whole. Delaware leans Democratic overall, while Downs Chapel is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Downs Chapel. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+36), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Downs Chapel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Downs Chapel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Downs Chapel votes against the grain of Delaware. Delaware leans Democratic overall, while Downs Chapel runs about 55 points more Republican.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Downs Chapel, DE sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Downs Chapel looks the way it does
Turnout in Downs Chapel sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Seeneytown, DE R+36
- Kenton, DE R+40
- Peacock Corners, MD R+35
- Hartly, DE R+44
- Clayton, DE R+15
- Sudlersville, MD R+50
- Marydel, MD R+48
- Marydel, DE R+51
- Hazlettville, DE R+43
- Cheswold, DE D+12
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Century, KS R+9
- Dillon, IL R+49
- Fairdealing, KY R+61
- Washington, VA R+12
- North Perry, OH R+36
- Ravenden, AR R+66
- Temple, MI R+48
- Pike, OK R+64
- Overbrook, OK R+68
- Jackman, ME R+31
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Delaware Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.