Dublin is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Dublin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dublin, ~12% vote Democratic, ~58% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dublin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dublin leans more Republican than 34 of 62 neighbors.
Dublin runs about 35 points more Republican than Kentucky as a whole.
Why Dublin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dublin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Dublin, about 96% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 24 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 28%.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Dublin, KY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Dublin looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 95% of households in Dublin own their home, about 17 points above the Kentucky average of 78%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fancy Farm, KY R+67
- Pryorsburg, KY R+66
- Fulgham, KY R+65
- Wingo, KY R+69
- Mayfield, KY R+47
- Lynnville, KY R+66
- Spring Hill, KY R+59
- Water Valley, KY R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Powder Springs, TN R+74
- Asbury, WV R+60
- Orpha, WY R+68
- Lorain, PA R+25
- Ary, KY R+59
- Racine, MO R+62
- Leemaster, VA R+71
- Sankertown, PA R+44
- Cuba, OH R+63
- Floyd, NM R+75
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Kentucky State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.