Dunlap leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Dunlap typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dunlap, ~15% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dunlap compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dunlap leans more Republican than 18 of 29 neighbors.
Dunlap runs about 65 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Dunlap is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Dunlap leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dunlap, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Dunlap live in densely developed areas, about 54 points below the California average of 58%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Dunlap are family households, above 82% of cities. Dunlap runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; Dunlap, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Dunlap looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 32% of households in Dunlap rent, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Squaw Valley, CA R+43
- Miramonte, CA R+48
- Hartland, CA R+48
- Badger, CA R+46
- Hume, CA R+55
- Orange Cove, CA D+6
- Piedra, CA R+46
Cities with Similar Populations
- Red Mills, NY R+35
- Pilger, NE R+68
- Tupelo, OK R+73
- Silver Creek, MO R+53
- Scammon, KS R+53
- Rose, ID R+66
- Winstead Crossroads, NC R+35
- Raven Rocks, WV R+64
- Eagle Nest, NM R+10
- Longwood, WI R+51
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.