Earp leans Republican by roughly 26 points: about 37% of voters vote Democratic and 63% Republican.
About 36% of adults in Earp typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Earp, ~13% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~64% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Earp compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Earp leans more Republican than 2 of 7 neighbors.
Earp runs about 45 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Earp is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Earp. The south side is the most Republican-leaning (R+38) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+17), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Earp leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Earp, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 2% of residents in Earp live in densely developed areas, about 55 points below the California average of 58%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Earp sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 84% of cities). Earp runs against the grain of California, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Earp, CA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Earp looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 31% of households in Earp rent, about 6 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 22% of adults in Earp report food insecurity, above 86% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Big River, CA R+46
- Parker, AZ R+7
- Cienega Springs, AZ R+43
- Parker Dam, CA R+33
- Poston, AZ D+13
- Parker Strip, AZ R+60
- Lake Havasu City, AZ R+36
- Bouse, AZ R+55
- Quartzsite, AZ R+38
- Ehrenberg, AZ R+34
Cities with Similar Populations
- Spanish Ranch, CA R+29
- Prairie Hill, OK R+76
- Jericho, TX R+87
- Bliss, MO R+66
- Meredith, CO D+30
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.