East Carbon is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 48% of adults in East Carbon typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Carbon, ~8% vote Democratic, ~40% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Carbon compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Carbon leans more Republican than 3 of 8 neighbors.
East Carbon runs about 46 points more Republican than Utah as a whole.
Why East Carbon leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Carbon, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. Fewer than 1% of residents in East Carbon live in densely developed areas, about 31 points below the Utah average of 32%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and East Carbon sits in the bottom quarter (about 11%, below 90% of cities).
Developed land and Republican lean
Places with a rural land-use pattern tend to lean Republican; East Carbon, UT sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Developed land does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in East Carbon looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Carbon is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 32% of households in East Carbon rent, above 87% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and East Carbon sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sunnyside, UT R+68
- Wellington, UT R+72
- Woodside, UT R+72
- Columbia, UT R+70
- Price, UT R+50
- Kenilworth, UT R+66
- Elmo, UT R+72
- Spring Glen, UT R+56
- Helper, UT R+53
- Cleveland, UT R+76
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mammoth Cave, KY R+70
- Sipsey, AL R+72
- Plum Branch, SC D+10
- Four Lakes, WA R+31
- New Castle, NH D+40
- Smith Lake, NM D+24
- Pechin, PA R+54
- Ripley, OK R+60
- Loraine, TX R+72
- Brimhall, NM D+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Utah Lieutenant Governor's Office, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.