East Downtown Dearborn leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 57% of adults in East Downtown Dearborn typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Downtown Dearborn, ~23% vote Democratic, ~34% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Downtown Dearborn compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Downtown Dearborn is the most Republican-leaning.
East Downtown Dearborn runs about 18 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within East Downtown Dearborn. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+11), a spread of about 18 points.
Why East Downtown Dearborn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Downtown Dearborn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Downtown Dearborn votes Republican even though it is densely developed (more than 99%, far above the Michigan average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and East Downtown Dearborn fits that profile on both counts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; East Downtown Dearborn, Dearborn, MI sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in East Downtown Dearborn looks the way it does
Areas with low high-school completion turn out at lower rates. About 75% of adults in East Downtown Dearborn have completed high school, about 15 points below the U.S. average of 90%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 31% of adults in East Downtown Dearborn report food insecurity, above 84% of neighborhoods. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Claytown, Detroit, MI D+16
- Aviation, Detroit, MI D+88
- Springwells, Detroit, MI D+29
- Garden View, Detroit, MI D+80
- Michigan-Martin, Detroit, MI D+36
- Fishkorn, Detroit, MI D+87
- Barton-McFarland, Detroit, MI D+87
- Warrendale, Detroit, MI D+61
- Tireman, Detroit, MI D+76
- Midwest, Detroit, MI D+84
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Natomas Crossing, Sacramento, CA D+41
- Riverchase Country Club, Hoover, AL R+31
- Oxford, Fort Wayne, IN D+67
- Midtown Phillips, Minneapolis, MN D+67
- Downtown Appleton, Appleton, WI D+21
- Near Westside, Syracuse, NY D+53
- Park Duvalle, Louisville, KY D+88
- Biltmore Shores, Massapequa, NY R+44
- Bay Shore Gardens, Bayshore Gardens, FL R+18
- Country Lakes, Miramar, FL D+15
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.