East Garrison is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 32% of adults in East Garrison typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Garrison, ~16% vote Democratic, ~16% Republican, and ~68% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Garrison compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Garrison sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 34 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 1 leaning the other way.
East Garrison runs about 22 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while East Garrison sits closer to the political middle.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Garrison. The southwest side runs the most Democratic (D+26) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+5), a spread of about 31 points.
Why East Garrison leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Garrison, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Garrison votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while East Garrison runs about 22 points more Republican.
Population density, never-married share, and Republican lean
Places that combine low population density and a never-married-heavy adult population tend to lean Republican, as East Garrison, CA does.
Why turnout in East Garrison looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. East Garrison is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The uninsured rate here is about 20%, about 10 points above the California average of 10%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 40% of households in East Garrison rent, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 25%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in East Garrison report food insecurity, above 95% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Spreckels, CA Even
- Marina, CA D+32
- Salinas, CA D+29
- Seaside, CA D+36
- Sand City, CA D+33
- Del Rey Oaks, CA D+27
- Castroville, CA D+35
- Carmel Valley Village, CA D+31
- Monterey, CA D+40
- Prunedale, CA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yankee Hill, CA R+23
- Chandler, MO R+38
- Haverhill, OH R+56
- Blue John, KY R+76
- Greenbrier, IN R+48
- White Oak Springs, WV R+62
- Holly Grove, TX R+81
- Blanchard, ME R+38
- Gnat Hill, TN R+69
- Grantsdale, MT R+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.