El Dorado leans slightly Republican by roughly 6 points: about 47% of voters vote Democratic and 53% Republican.
About 61% of adults in El Dorado typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in El Dorado, ~29% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How El Dorado compares
Among cities within 25 miles, El Dorado leans more Republican than 2 of 44 neighbors.
El Dorado runs about 25 points more Democratic than Arkansas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within El Dorado. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+66) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+65), a spread of about 130 points.
Why El Dorado leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for El Dorado, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in El Dorado drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; El Dorado, AR sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in El Dorado looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. El Dorado is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 33% of households in El Dorado rent, compared to around 15% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in El Dorado report food insecurity, above 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Sandy Land, AR R+7
- Parkers Chapel, AR R+64
- Quinn, AR R+57
- Old Union, AR R+69
- Newell, AR R+65
- Norphlet, AR R+64
- Wesson, AR R+73
- Ritchie, AR R+69
- Lisbon, AR R+59
- Smackover, AR R+48
Cities with Similar Populations
- Yorkville, IL R+12
- Homer Glen, IL R+27
- Ballenger Creek, MD D+26
- Colleyville, TX R+31
- Alton, IL D+11
- Allendale, MI R+3
- District Heights, MD D+85
- Denver, NC R+36
- Ridgewood, NJ D+25
- Maineville, OH R+25
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.