Ballenger Creek, MD Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Ballenger Creek

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Ballenger Creek leans Democratic by roughly 26 points: about 63% of voters vote Democratic and 37% Republican.

 

About 66% of adults in Ballenger Creek typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ballenger Creek, ~42% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Ballenger Creek compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Ballenger Creek leans more Democratic than 96 of 111 neighbors.

Politically, Ballenger Creek sits close to the rest of Maryland.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ballenger Creek. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+33) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 11 points.

Why Ballenger Creek leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ballenger Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 83% of residents in Ballenger Creek live in densely developed areas, about 47 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Ballenger Creek sits in the top quarter (about 45%, above 91% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 39% of adults in Ballenger Creek have never been married, above 92% of cities.

Paved land cover and Democratic lean

Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Ballenger Creek, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.

Why turnout in Ballenger Creek looks the way it does

Turnout in Ballenger Creek sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.