Elgin is a Republican stronghold. About 14% of voters here vote Democratic and 86% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Elgin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elgin, ~10% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elgin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elgin leans more Republican than 62 of 88 neighbors.
Elgin runs about 61 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Why Elgin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elgin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Elgin, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 25 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 12% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 12 points below the Ohio average of 23%. Car-dependent areas vote Republican, and about 87% of residents in Elgin drive to work alone, above 86% of cities.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elgin, OH sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Elgin looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Elgin own their home, about 16 points above the Ohio average of 77%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Venedocia, OH R+72
- Monticello, OH R+73
- Mendon, OH R+68
- Landeck, OH R+72
- Mercer, OH R+72
- Spencerville, OH R+70
- Ohio City, OH R+67
- Dull, OH R+70
- Neptune, OH R+72
- Needmore, OH R+71
Cities with Similar Populations
- Canton, KY R+62
- Ferris, IL R+58
- Lunds Valley, ND R+78
- Catawba, WV R+53
- Stevens Creek, VA R+62
- Venus, KY R+59
- Oramel, NY R+44
- Four Point, TN R+70
- Shelburn, LA R+32
- Bloomington, NE R+66
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.