Elgin leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 99% of adults in Elgin typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elgin, ~27% vote Democratic, ~72% Republican, and ~1% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elgin compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elgin leans more Republican than 4 of 10 neighbors.
Elgin runs about 60 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Elgin is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elgin. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+53) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Elgin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elgin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elgin votes against the grain of Oregon. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while Elgin runs about 60 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Elgin runs against that pattern. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Elgin sits in the bottom quarter (about 13%, below 83% of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Elgin, OR sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Elgin looks the way it does
Turnout in Elgin sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Imbler, OR R+55
- Summerville, OR R+48
- Looking Glass, OR R+53
- Island City, OR R+46
- Cove, OR R+54
- Perry, OR R+39
- Wallowa, OR R+41
- La Grande, OR R+21
- Bingham Springs, OR R+49
- Gibbon, OR R+27
Cities with Similar Populations
- New Berlin, NY R+40
- Byers, CO R+53
- Davidsville, PA R+47
- Ellsinore, MO R+73
- Kuttawa, KY R+56
- Bernardston, MA D+4
- Flows Store, NC R+10
- Plandome Manor, NY D+12
- Marked Tree, AR R+28
- Edon, OH R+60
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.