La Grande leans Republican by roughly 20 points: about 40% of voters vote Democratic and 60% Republican.
About 71% of adults in La Grande typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in La Grande, ~28% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How La Grande compares
Among cities within 25 miles, La Grande is the least Republican-leaning.
La Grande runs about 35 points more Republican than Oregon as a whole. Oregon leans Democratic overall, while La Grande is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within La Grande. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+4), a spread of about 38 points.
Why La Grande leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for La Grande, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
La Grande votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 69%, far above the Oregon average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. La Grande runs against the grain of Oregon, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; La Grande, OR sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in La Grande looks the way it does
Turnout in La Grande sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Island City, OR R+46
- Perry, OR R+39
- Cove, OR R+54
- Summerville, OR R+48
- Imbler, OR R+55
- Union, OR R+52
- Elgin, OR R+46
- Lehman Hot Springs, OR R+31
- North Powder, OR R+60
Cities with Similar Populations
- Midland, GA R+6
- South Charleston, WV R+5
- Ville Platte, LA R+18
- Cherry Hill Mall, NJ D+26
- Marshall, MO R+25
- Whiteville, NC R+23
- Greenville, PA R+35
- Hooksett, NH D+6
- Brookside, DE D+24
- Hampton Bays, NY R+6
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oregon Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.