Marked Tree leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Marked Tree typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Marked Tree, ~21% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Marked Tree compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Marked Tree leans more Republican than 19 of 64 neighbors.
Politically, Marked Tree sits close to the rest of Arkansas.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Marked Tree. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+5) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+73), a spread of about 77 points.
Why Marked Tree leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Marked Tree, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Marked Tree votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 34%, well above the Arkansas average of 13%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Marked Tree sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 76% of cities).
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Marked Tree, AR sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Marked Tree looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Marked Tree is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 10 points below the Arkansas average of 51%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in Marked Tree rent, compared to around 26% in nearby cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Marked Tree report food insecurity, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Tyronza Junction, AR R+52
- Tyronza, AR R+65
- Joyland, AR R+75
- Lepanto, AR R+49
- Whitton, AR R+42
- Deckerville, AR R+59
- Tulot, AR R+56
Cities with Similar Populations
- Plandome Manor, NY D+12
- Kuttawa, KY R+56
- Big Clifty, KY R+66
- Dexter, GA R+66
- Albion, NE R+59
- Newfields, NH D+13
- Honey Grove, TX R+53
- Byers, CO R+53
- Keysville, VA R+26
- Davidsville, PA R+47
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arkansas Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.