Estelle is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 61% of adults in Estelle typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Estelle, ~30% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Estelle compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Estelle sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 22 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 29 leaning the other way.
Estelle runs about 21 points more Democratic than Louisiana as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Estelle. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+41) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+23), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Estelle leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Estelle. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Estelle, LA does.
Why turnout in Estelle looks the way it does
Areas with high food insecurity turn out at lower rates. About 25% of adults in Estelle report food insecurity, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 16%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 80% of adults in Estelle have completed high school, below 91% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Woodmere, LA D+75
- Marrero, LA D+20
- Harvey, LA D+32
- Westwego, LA R+11
- St. Rosalie, LA R+44
- Timberlane, LA D+16
- Gretna, LA D+20
- Terrytown, LA D+27
- Bridge City, LA D+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Bellwood, IL D+78
- Cypress Quarters, FL D+3
- Dunn, NC R+23
- Ashland, MA D+29
- Somerton, AZ D+8
- Spanish Lake, MO D+74
- Johnstown, CO R+32
- Gorham, ME D+4
- Spring Creek, NV R+64
- Norton, MA Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Louisiana Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.