Evergreen leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Evergreen typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Evergreen, ~21% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Evergreen compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Evergreen leans more Republican than 40 of 66 neighbors.
Evergreen runs about 46 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Evergreen is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Evergreen. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+59) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 31 points.
Why Evergreen leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Evergreen, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Evergreen votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Evergreen runs about 46 points more Republican. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Evergreen sits in the bottom quarter (about 15%, below 77% of cities).
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with renter-heavy households tend to turn out at a lower rate; Evergreen, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Evergreen looks the way it does
Turnout in Evergreen sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Appomattox, VA R+40
- Oakville, VA R+42
- Vera, VA R+48
- Spout Spring, VA R+48
- Hixburg, VA R+48
- Pamplin City, VA R+51
- Spring Mills, VA R+48
- Pamplin, VA R+24
- Stonewall, VA R+51
- Sliders, VA R+44
Cities with Similar Populations
- Twin Mountain, NH D+2
- Fleming, IN R+59
- Minersville, UT R+65
- New Fountain, TX R+61
- Newington Forest, VA D+35
- Glenwood, NJ R+27
- Berville, MI R+51
- Wolfton, SC D+7
- Wind River, WY D+38
- Pleasant Valley, IA R+15
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.