Fair Plain leans heavily Democratic by roughly 42 points: about 71% of voters vote Democratic and 29% Republican.
About 72% of adults in Fair Plain typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fair Plain, ~51% vote Democratic, ~21% Republican, and ~28% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fair Plain compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fair Plain leans more Democratic than 54 of 56 neighbors.
Fair Plain runs about 42 points more Democratic than Michigan as a whole. Michigan is roughly evenly split, and Fair Plain sits clearly on the Democratic side.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fair Plain. The north side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+61) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+23), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Fair Plain leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fair Plain, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 86% of residents in Fair Plain live in densely developed areas, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 37% of adults in Fair Plain have never been married, above 90% of cities. Fair Plain runs against the grain of Michigan, a Democratic-leaning outlier in a roughly evenly split state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Fair Plain, MI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Fair Plain looks the way it does
Turnout in Fair Plain sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Joseph, MI Even
- Benton Harbor, MI D+42
- Benton Heights, MI D+55
- Shoreham, MI D+4
- Pearl Grange, MI R+24
- Sodus, MI R+29
- Stevensville, MI R+9
- Twelve Corners, MI R+13
- Buckhorn, MI R+18
- Shanghai Corners, MI R+40
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kalkaska, MI R+39
- Ebensburg, PA R+38
- Sunset, LA R+24
- Byron, IL R+26
- Ridgeville, SC R+20
- Berryville, VA R+17
- Demopolis, AL D+13
- Walls, MS D+7
- North Patchogue, NY R+20
- Oneida, TN R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.