Stevensville leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Stevensville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Stevensville, ~42% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Stevensville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Stevensville leans more Republican than 19 of 60 neighbors.
Stevensville runs about 7 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Stevensville. The southeast side is the most split-leaning (R+21) and the north side is the least split-leaning (R+2), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Stevensville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Stevensville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Stevensville votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 58%, well above the Michigan average of 31%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Stevensville, MI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Stevensville looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Stevensville is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 74%, about 14 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Stevensville have completed high school, above 94% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Shoreham, MI D+4
- St. Joseph, MI Even
- Baroda, MI R+26
- Buckhorn, MI R+18
- Fair Plain, MI D+41
- Hinchman, MI R+4
- Bridgman, MI R+20
- Hills Corners, MI R+27
- Sodus, MI R+29
- Benton Harbor, MI D+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Brown Deer, WI D+45
- Freeport, FL R+56
- Farmington, NY R+4
- Mary Esther, FL R+29
- Mogadore, OH R+33
- Hudson Falls, NY R+17
- Gladstone, OR D+17
- Larkspur, CA D+58
- Atco, NJ R+8
- Jefferson Hills, PA R+20
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.