Fayetteville leans Democratic by roughly 30 points: about 65% of voters vote Democratic and 35% Republican.
About 69% of adults in Fayetteville typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Fayetteville, ~45% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~31% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Fayetteville compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Fayetteville is the most Democratic-leaning.
Fayetteville runs about 32 points more Democratic than North Carolina as a whole. North Carolina leans Republican overall, while Fayetteville is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Fayetteville. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+48) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+11), a spread of about 59 points.
Why Fayetteville leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Fayetteville, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 76% of residents in Fayetteville live in densely developed areas, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 34% of adults in Fayetteville have never been married, above 85% of cities. Fayetteville runs against the grain of North Carolina, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Fayetteville, NC sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Fayetteville looks the way it does
Turnout in Fayetteville sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Bragg, NC Even
- Hope Mills, NC D+4
- Pope Air Force Base, NC R+12
- Eastover, NC R+27
- Vander, NC R+24
- Parkton, NC R+7
- Spring Lake, NC D+14
- Slocomb, NC R+26
- Raeford, NC D+12
- Lumber Bridge, NC R+11
Cities with Similar Populations
- Tallahassee, FL D+29
- Arlington, VA D+57
- Norfolk, VA D+43
- San Bernardino, CA D+18
- Mobile, AL D+15
- Anchorage, AK D+23
- Alexandria, VA D+52
- Ocala, FL R+19
- Springfield, MO R+10
- Boca Raton, FL R+4
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from North Carolina State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.