Tallahassee leans Democratic by roughly 28 points: about 64% of voters vote Democratic and 36% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Tallahassee typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Tallahassee, ~42% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~34% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Tallahassee compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Tallahassee leans more Democratic than 25 of 31 neighbors.
Tallahassee runs about 42 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Tallahassee is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Tallahassee. The south side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+64) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (Even), a spread of about 64 points.
Why Tallahassee leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Tallahassee, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 70% of residents in Tallahassee live in densely developed areas, about 34 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Tallahassee sits in the top quarter (about 50%, above 93% of cities). Tallahassee runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Tallahassee, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Tallahassee looks the way it does
Turnout in Tallahassee sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Wakulla Springs, FL D+49
- Miccosukee Cpo, FL R+3
- Gibson, FL Even
- Woodville, FL R+26
- Midway, FL D+35
- Scotland, FL R+24
- Havana, FL Even
- Wakulla, FL R+24
- Lloyd, FL R+36
- Shady Rest, FL D+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Fayetteville, NC D+29
- Arlington, VA D+57
- Norfolk, VA D+43
- San Bernardino, CA D+18
- Mobile, AL D+15
- Anchorage, AK D+23
- Alexandria, VA D+52
- Ocala, FL R+19
- Springfield, MO R+10
- Boca Raton, FL R+4
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.