North Victory, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in North Victory

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

North Victory leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.

 

About 70% of adults in North Victory typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Victory, ~22% vote Democratic, ~48% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How North Victory compares

Among cities within 25 miles, North Victory leans more Republican than 57 of 83 neighbors.

North Victory runs about 50 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while North Victory is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within North Victory. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+50) and the northwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 25 points.

Why North Victory leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for North Victory, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in North Victory drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. North Victory runs against the grain of New York, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; North Victory, NY sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in North Victory looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 97% of households in North Victory own their home, about 20 points above the New York average of 76%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.