Ferndale leans slightly Democratic by roughly 6 points: about 53% of voters vote Democratic and 47% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Ferndale typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ferndale, ~37% vote Democratic, ~33% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ferndale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ferndale leans more Democratic than 13 of 28 neighbors.
Ferndale runs about 14 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ferndale. The west side runs the most Democratic (D+11) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+6), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Ferndale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ferndale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 34% of residents in Ferndale live in densely developed areas, above 82% of cities.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Ferndale, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Ferndale looks the way it does
Turnout in Ferndale sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Port Kenyon, CA D+4
- Fernbridge, CA Even
- Loleta, CA Even
- Fortuna, CA D+8
- Newburg, CA D+3
- Hydesville, CA R+21
- Rio Dell, CA R+10
- Scotia, CA R+16
- Fields Landing, CA D+13
- Carlotta, CA R+19
Cities with Similar Populations
- Anderson, AL R+79
- Cornell, WI R+43
- Dale Summit, PA D+32
- Caddo, OK R+67
- Valley Head, AL R+73
- Norfolk, NY R+29
- North Eastham, MA D+30
- Eatonville, FL D+51
- Luckey, OH R+35
- Lake Park, MN R+35
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.