Carlotta leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 48% of adults in Carlotta typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Carlotta, ~20% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~52% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Carlotta compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Carlotta leans more Republican than 32 of 35 neighbors.
Carlotta runs about 39 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Carlotta is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Carlotta. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+19) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+9), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Carlotta leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Carlotta, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Carlotta votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Carlotta runs about 39 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Carlotta sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 3%, below 92% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Carlotta, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Carlotta looks the way it does
Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout. About 5% of homes in Carlotta have more than one occupant per room, above 88% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Stafford, CA R+17
- Hydesville, CA R+21
- Rio Dell, CA R+10
- Scotia, CA R+16
- Shively, CA R+16
- Fortuna, CA D+8
- Newburg, CA D+3
- McCann, CA R+16
- Redcrest, CA R+14
- Fernbridge, CA Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Scotland, GA R+45
- Republican, AR R+64
- Chester Gap, VA R+22
- Harris, NC R+68
- Hillview, MN R+56
- Linnville, OH R+60
- Strawberry, AR R+74
- Harveyville, KS R+54
- Nichols, WI R+46
- Altamont, MO R+65
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.